Thursday 9 July 2015

Liberal Democrat Leadership Election: Who's who and what do they stand for?

The Liberal Democrat leadership election is the first step to recovery for a party whose voice is being missed in the campaign to protect human rights in Britain.
After the party's electoral collapse in May, the Liberal Democrats have run an accelerated campaign to elect a new leader to replace Nick Clegg. Voting will come to an end on 15th July and the results will be announced the following day.

Clegg's resignation has, dramatic as it was following the party's disastrous election night, been seen as a long delayed inevitability (Wintour & Watt, 2015). Ultimately, the decision to go into coalition with the Conservatives seems to have been something from which the party could not recover.

And yet, early indications suggest that the party nonetheless possesses an enduring appeal. Their presence is already being missed in the defence of civil rights and liberties (The Guardian, 2015), and council bye-elections are already being won (Steerpike, 2015).

However, their collapse has raised a question within the party, one that has importance for all of the parties across the Centre-Left (Kettle, 2015). Is the response to the election loss to move Left and embrace more idealistic positions, or to move Right and try to win voters away from the Conservatives directly?

For the Liberal Democrats this has been distilled into the nominated candidates. The candidate representing continuity with Clegg, seen as the Centrist and Centre-Right wing of the party which is concerned with being a practical party of government, is Norman Lamb. The more Left-leaning candidate, which in the case of the Lib Dems means embracing its campaigning and grassroots tendencies, is Tim Farron.

Norman Lamb

Norman Lamb served in the last government as a Minister of State for Care and Support, a position he pursued with a personal passion. He has made a point of vociferous campaigning on issues of mental health, and was deeply involved in the party's aims of putting mental health onto an equal footing with physical health (Lamb, 2015).

Lamb is very much the designated heir of the Centrist liberal faction that took the party into the Coalition - something reflected in the endorsements he has received, which include Clegg's closest supporter and former party leader Paddy Ashdown (Lindsay, 2015). Little can symbolise that more distinctly in the minds of voters than the fact that Lamb voted for the Coalition reforms to tuition fees (BBC, 2010).

So far Lamb has argued that the party should not retreat to its comfort zone (Lamb, 2015{2}), a sentiment likely reflected by those in the liberal centre. Yet, at the same time he argued for new ways to tackle economic inequality that are not based on old models of redistribution - singling out mutuals and social enterprises as things that liberals 'instinctively' support.

Tim Farron

Tim Farron remained aloof of the government during the last parliament, during which he served as the party president - a position from which he was often a voice critical towards the coalition (Greenwood, 2015). As might be expected, he voted against the coalition tuition fee changes (BBC, 2010).

The MP for Westmoreland and Lonsdale has received the endorsement of the party's more radical, campaigning, Left - including former leader David Steel, who was very critical of how the Coalition was handled (Steel, 2015) - and the leaders of the Welsh and Scottish Lib Dems (Perraudin, 2015). He also, notably, has the endorsement of both The Guardian and the New Statesman (The Guardian, 2015{2}; New Statesman, 2015).

Farron's main distinctive positions came up in the debate between the candidates at 2015 Conference of the Social Liberal Forum group (Lindsay, 2015{2}). He displayed his openness to liberals increasing taxes to fund public services and expressed a willingness, should he become leader, to not get into conflicts with the party conference policy making processes. Farron has also stressed his intention of rebuilding the parties grassroots and so increasing party membership 100,000 by 2020 (Farron, 2015).

Quiet establishment man or the problematic firebrand?

Voices in the social liberal and liberal centre wings of the party have their own reasons for leaning either way. Those in the liberal centre argue that there is value in the consistency of remaining in the Centre, from which the party's only opportunities to make its policies a reality will come through coalition with the Conservatives or with Labour (Tall, 2015).

For social liberals, however, there were important things ignored by the party leadership from 2010 onwards (Howarth, 2015; Smith, 2015). They argue that the leadership abandoned the radical Left-of-Centre causes and ideals, upon which they had been elected, in favour of a Centrist coalitionism - built around stability, unity and the embrace of a Toryism-lite - for which they had no mandate and were duly punished.

The Guardian has argued that there is a need for a figure who can lead a 'charismatic insurgency' (The Guardian, 2015{2}). But there are also warnings against the danger of traumatised parties electing 'feel good', comfort zone, candidates (Kettle, 2015). That need for a comfort zone candidate may factor in if there is felt to be a strong need to distance the party from the previous leadership and its direction.

One way of ensuring that distance could be embracing the rebranding of the party, with talk going around of a possible name change. Changing the name of the party could be a powerful moment upon which to hang the interviews and coverage that would make clear how the Lib Dems have heard their critics and responded (Withnall, 2015). In that case, Tim Farron's detachment from the Coalition would seem to make him the more ideal candidate - and he has certainly floated the idea of a fresh start (Farron, 2015{2}).

Yet there remain lingering reservations about Farron, in regards to his seemingly anti-liberal personal stances on a number of pressing social issues from abortion to gay rights (Birrell, 2015). With the party desperately needing to regain trust and a consistent identity, his own inconsistency could well factor against him and the party.

Though Farron might suggest that these personal standings should have no bearing, it is hard to escape an overriding feeling that there is also a decision to be made between the candidates' different characters: the quiet and practical, though establishment, man or the problematic firebrand. It's as if liberals are once more being faced with the spectre of siding with Asquith or Lloyd George. A more easily unifying figure would have been preferable, such as Jo Swinson - who would surely have been a leading candidate had she retained her East Dunbartonshire seat.

Rebuilding trust

In The Guardian, back in 2006, the late Charles Kennedy argued that:
"Fewer people are joining political parties, yet single-issue pressure groups continue to flourish. Mass international movements - from opposition to the war in Iraq to last year's Live 8 - demonstrate how great issues and principles can still motivate on a huge scale. But somehow our current political culture seems unable to accommodate and address such concerns...

...The danger in all of this is that if sufficient people conclude that there is nothing in the conventional political process for them then they may opt for more simplistic and extreme options on offer. I remain an optimist. But across the mainstream political spectrum there is a candid recognition of the danger."
For Liberal Democrats, and liberals generally, this has become a matter of great importance. Regardless of who becomes party leader, their first task must be to regain political trust. That means carving out a distinctive position that the whole party can comfortably adhere to and, importantly, campaign on. It means opening the party to working with others for electoral and political reform and encouraging a progressive alliance, even if only informally.

From a pragmatic point of view, those will likely remain the priorities - for the moment at least. Anything else might simply lead to a division that would strip the party of any credibility it has left, which means that neither candidate is likely to pick a fight with the supporters of the other. As a result, the issues that arise between the Centre and Left strands of liberalism are likely to go unresolved in the present. This election will instead be about who leads, rather more than to what they lead the party.

References

Patrick Wintour & Nicholas Watt's 'The Clegg catastrophe'; in The Guardian; 24 June 2015.

'The Guardian view on the Liberal Democrats: missing them already'; in The Guardian; 15 May 2015.

Steerpike's 'Lib Dems claw back power from the Tories'; in The Spectator; 3 July 2015.

Martin Kettle's 'For Labour the choice is stark: purity, or power'; in The Guardian; 25 June 2015.

Norman Lamb's 'Speech to Spring Conference 2015'; from the Liberal Democrats, on YouTube; 16 March 2015.

Caron Lindsay's 'Lib Dem Leadership: Big name endorsements for each camp as ballots are posted to members'; on LibDemVoice; 24 June 2015.

'Tuition fees: How Liberal Democrat MPs voted'; on the BBC; 9 December 2010.

Norman Lamb's 'It Would Be Easy for Our Party to Shelter in Our Comfort Zone - But It Would Also Be Very, Very Wrong'; in The Huffington Post UK; 30 June 2015.

WMNA Greenwood's 'Paddy Ashdown wades into Lib Dem coalition record row'; in Western Morning News; 15 March 2015.

David Steel's 'Six ways Nick Clegg steered the Liberal Democrats to disaster'; in The Guardian; 11 May 2015.

Frances Perraudin's 'Welsh and Scottish Lib Dem leaders back Tim Farron to replace Nick Clegg'; in The Guardian; 11 May 2015.

'The Guardian view on a new Lib Dem leader: he must be hi-vis. That means Tim Farron'; in The Guardian; 3 July 2015.

'The NS leader: why we're endorsing Tim Farron for the Liberal Democrat leadership'; in the New Statesman; 10 June 2015.

Caron Lindsay's 'Social Liberal Forum holds hustings for Farron and Lamb'; in LibDemVoice; 5 July 2015{2}.

Tim Farron's 'Tim Farron MP: I can rebuild our party and be the strong liberal voice this country needs'; on Politics Home; 22 May 2015.

Stephen Tall's 'Why the Lib Dems should stick in the liberal centre. Not because we have to, but because we should choose to'; on stephentall.org; 14 May 2015.

David Howarth's 'Thoughts on the way forward'; from the Social Liberal Forum; 9 May 2015.

Naomi Smith's 'Now is the time for the politics of hope'; from the Social Liberal Forum; 8 May 2015.

Ian Birrell's 'We need a strong liberal voice in UK politics. Tim Farron won’t provide it'; in The Guardian; 24 June 2015.

Adam Withnall's 'Are the Lib Dems due a rebrand? Next leader favourite Tim Farron hints party could change name to just 'the Liberals''; in The Independent; 12 May 2015.

Tim Farron's 'Tim Farron MP writes - It’s time to make a fresh start'; on LibDemVoice; 16 May 2015{2}.

Charles Kennedy's 'How we lost people's trust'; in The Guardian; 4 August 2006.

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