Monday 26 May 2014

Despite claims of a sweeping UKIP victory, only 10% of the UK electorate voted for them; even so, the disaffection they represent remains a danger

Europe, and the UK in particular, has this past week staved off the illiberal threat of the far right - at least for now. In the European and local elections, despite the general perception of widespread successes (BBC, 2014), the far right has largely failed to deliver any complete and comprehensive victories. That news is tinged with sadness though, by the far right's achievement of at least limited successes in Europe through UKIP and other nationalist groups such as Marine Le Pen's Front National in France.

However, UKIP's 'victory', with around 27 percent of the vote, is far less impressive when you consider the stats. With the UK's eligible electorate standing at around 46 million, the 4 million who voted for UKIP, under 10 percent the total electorate, is shown to be impressive only by comparison to the total number of voters, standing at a lowly 15 million (34 percent).

While the far right groups - nationalist and reactionary conservatives - have certainly made gains, they have yet to make truly dangerous breakthroughs. Despite excitable media coverage promising UKIP transforming into the dominant British party (Merrick et al, 2014), those fearful predictions have mostly failed to materialise, with results only given a sense of emphasis by public apathy towards voting.

Yet even in defeat and failure, the far right's propaganda remains dangerous to those watching with an uncritical eye. Their own supporters, though they will claim suppression and make excuses, and claim what little victories that they can, will only be but a few fringe extremist voices. The real danger will be amongst protest voters, frustrated by the failure of their new movement to become a major force, who may become a receptive audience to the far right's outcries.

The trouble lies with the system, and it's resistance to change for better or worse. For those who seek out radical or reactionary parties to propel the changes they believe will fix their problems, and find their attempts quelled and frustrated, failure brings with it the risk of looking foolish and being embarrassed. Combined with the promises of the far right, that is a dangerously toxic mixture. Disaffection and simplistic reactionary solutions tend not to produce particularly liberal outcomes.

That is a matter that needs to be particularly addressed. The solutions of the far right are intolerance and control. Closing borders, making criminal penalties harsher, and imposing and enforcing the dominant culture. Liberty becomes the privilege of a restricted few and identities are turned into chains - whether for better or worse. Difference, like homosexuality is suppressed and outcast; sameness, like nationalism, are championed and enforced. Even positive celebrations of identity become burdensome under the weight of things like patriotism, loyalty, obedience and compliance.

As long as the mainstream political systems and structures fail to offer solutions to, and fail to find ways to prevent, these immense economic downturns, then simplistic and even extreme solutions will continue to find appeal. It is no coincidence that extremism rears its head, and sounds off the loudest, during severe downturns, with the resulting struggles that people face.

As ever, the non-voters find themselves to be the most important group to take the measure of: as the real majority, understanding the causes of their disaffection would do much to give us a real context for the election results and to show us the real general feeling of people as a whole.

If the the far right and their brands of extremism and intolerance are to be warded off, the establishment has to change. Its first and most important task will be show that there is something in it for the disenfranchised and, if it can't demonstrate that, adapt in order to protect our rights, liberties and hopes within a tolerant and representative system.

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References:
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+ BBC's 'Eurosceptic 'earthquake' rocks EU elections'; 26 May 2014.

+ Jane Merrick, John Rentoul & Mark Leftly's 'European elections: Ukip set for landmark win'; in The Independent; 18 May 2014.

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